| Session Details | |
| Section | AS - Atmospheric Sciences |
| Session Title | Recent Advances in the Science and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones |
| Main Convener | Dr. Jeff Kepert (Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia) |
| Co-convener(s) | Prof. Chun-Chieh Wu (National Taiwan University, Taiwan) Prof. Yuqing Wang (University of Hawaii at Manoa, United States) Dr. Kevin Tory (The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia) |
| Session Description | Tropical cyclones continue to be one of the most devastating weather systems affecting Asia, Oceania and the world, with potentially severe impacts on populations, the economy and the environment. Demographic changes and increased user expectations imply that further improvements in forecasts will be needed in the future; that is, the substantial advancements of recent decades will not be sufficient. The multi-faceted nature of the tropical cyclone hazard – including wind, storm surge, waves, flooding and debris flows – indicates the complexity of the problem, and suggests that impact forecasting may be needed in the future. This session aims to include all aspects of the tropical cyclone problem, including formation, intensification, rapid intensification, structure change, interaction with the ocean, rainfall, landfall, and interaction with midlatitude systems. Timescales of interest range from nowcasting through to forecasting, seasonal and climate change, and include probabilistic prediction. We welcome papers on theoretical matters, idealised simulation, observational analyses, field programs and other data sets, data analysis, and actual or potential operational forecast systems. While we especially seek papers that focus on Asia and Oceania, those with a more global focus are also welcome. We hope that the session will provide a fruitful opportunity for the exchange of ideas, and assist in the development of systems that help mitigate the threat from tropical cyclones in Asia, Oceania and worldwide. |