| Session Details | |
| Section | AS - Atmospheric Sciences |
| Session Title | The Science, Prediction and Ocean Interaction of Tropical Cyclones |
| Main Convener | Dr. Jeff Kepert (Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia) |
| Co-convener(s) | Prof. Chun-Chieh Wu (National Taiwan University, Taiwan) Prof. Yuqing Wang (University of Hawaii at Manoa, United States) Dr. Akiyoshi Wada (Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Japan) Prof. I-I Lin (National Taiwan University, Taiwan) Dr. Kosuke Ito (University of the Ryukyus, Japan) |
| Session Description | Tropical cyclones continue to be one of the most devastating weather systems affecting Asia, Oceania and the world, with potentially severe impacts on populations, the economy and the environment. The multi-faceted nature of the tropical cyclone hazard – including wind, storm surge, waves, heavy rains, flooding and debris flows – indicates the complexity of the problem. Demographic changes and increased user expectations imply that further improvements in forecasts will be needed in the future; that is, the substantial advancements of recent decades will not be sufficient. We foresee that future forecasting may need to move from the phenomenon, to considering forecasts of impact as well. This session aims to include all aspects of tropical cyclones and their interaction with the ocean, including formation, intensification, rapid intensification, structure change, rainfall, landfall, and interaction with midlatitude systems. Timescales of interest range from nowcasting through to forecasting, seasonal and climate change, and include probabilistic prediction. We welcome papers on theoretical matters, idealised simulation, observational analyses, field programs and other data sets, data analysis, and actual or potential operational forecast systems. We are especially interested in analyses of recent observational programs such as T-PARC and ITOP, the impact of initial conditions in the atmosphere and the ocean, and relevant physical processes. While we especially seek papers that focus on Asia and Oceania, those with a more global focus are also welcome. We hope that the session will provide a fruitful opportunity for the exchange of ideas, and assist in the development of systems that help mitigate the threat from tropical cyclones in Asia, Oceania and worldwide. |