| Session Details | |
| Section | AS - Atmospheric Sciences |
| Session Title | The Science and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones |
| Main Convener | Prof. Chun-Chieh Wu (National Taiwan University, Taiwan) |
| Co-convener(s) | Prof. Yuqing Wang (University of Hawaii at Manoa, United States) Dr. Jeff Kepert (The Centre for Australian Weather and Climate Research, Australia) Dr. Yihong Duan (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China) Prof. Kosuke Ito (University of the Ryukyus, Japan) |
| Session Description | Tropical cyclones continue to be one of the most devastating weather systems affecting Asia, Oceania and the world, with potentially severe impacts on human life, the economy and the environment. The multi-faceted nature of the tropical cyclone hazard – including wind, storm surge, waves, heavy rains, flooding and debris flow – indicates the complexity of the problem. Demographic changes and increased user expectations imply that further improvements in forecasts will be needed in the future; that is, the substantial advancements of recent decades will not be sufficient. We foresee that future forecasting may need to move from the phenomenon, to considering forecasts of impact as well. This session aims to include all aspects of tropical cyclones, such as formation, movement, intensification, rapid intensification, structure change, rainfall, landfall, and the interaction with terrain, ocean, or midlatitude systems. Studies on the linkage between tropical cyclones and climate processes (including both natural and anthropogenic origins) are welcomed too. Timescales of interest range from nowcasting through to forecasting, seasonal and climate change, and include probabilistic prediction. We welcome papers on theoretical matters, idealized simulation, observational analyses, field programs and other data sets, data analysis, and actual or potential operational forecast systems. While we especially seek papers that focus on Asia and Oceania, those with a more global focus are also welcome. We hope that the session will provide a fruitful opportunity for the exchange of ideas, and assist in the development of systems that help mitigate the threat from tropical cyclones in Asia, Oceania and worldwide. |